Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.016036 0.020031 0.025267 0.032854 0.043975 0.060411 0.088153
2025-01-12 0.011146 0.015257 0.021445 0.032101 0.051678 0.090669 0.192126
2025-01-19 0.009254 0.013481 0.020491 0.034265 0.064898 0.146591 0.511430
2025-01-26 0.008246 0.012640 0.020552 0.038058 0.085088 0.260672 2.152812
2025-02-02 0.007503 0.011994 0.020665 0.042000 0.110989 0.493069 30.632263
2025-02-09 0.006633 0.010896 0.019512 0.042325 0.127060 0.795371 NaN
2025-02-16 0.005963 0.010026 0.018574 0.042752 0.145380 1.364309 NaN
2025-02-23 0.005401 0.009256 0.017644 0.042765 0.163304 2.438426 NaN
2025-03-02 0.004810 0.008333 0.016144 0.040323 0.165316 3.480074 NaN
2025-03-09 0.004382 0.007683 0.015163 0.039214 0.175167 6.084467 NaN
2025-03-16 0.004106 0.007315 0.014793 0.040104 0.202539 18.788707 NaN
2025-03-23 0.003835 0.006919 0.014269 0.040218 0.226142 85.021557 NaN
2025-03-30 0.003464 0.006301 0.013163 0.038086 0.231029 572.389978 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003177 0.005841 0.012410 0.037173 0.250498 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.003038 0.005690 0.012466 0.039829 0.331610 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002957 0.005663 0.012866 0.044517 0.498085 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002876 0.005620 0.013211 0.049430 0.774248 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002713 0.005354 0.012799 0.049838 0.948021 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002569 0.005119 0.012437 0.050373 1.182018 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002432 0.004883 0.012028 0.050388 1.439251 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002263 0.004550 0.011235 0.047335 1.401003 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002134 0.004308 0.010713 0.045953 1.523893 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002051 0.004176 0.010547 0.047061 2.048860 NaN NaN